Carol Zhao vs Yexin Ma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Zhao's recent second serve point win rate is 40.19%, slightly superior to Ma's 37.63%. Could this edge in second serve consistency be pivotal?
• Return game stats: Zhao leads in recent form, winning 52.88% of opponents' second serve points compared to Ma's 48%. Zhao also excels in first serve returns with 37.43% to Ma's 30.55%.
• Handling pressure: Zhao has managed to save 49.56% of breakpoints recently, marginally outperforming Ma who saved 46.91%.
• Overall performance: Zhao's win rate over the last year stands at 45.1%, trailing Ma's 52.17%. Does Ma's higher win percentage indicate stronger overall form?
• Surface preference: Both players excel on clay, with Ma just edging out Zhao with a 56% win rate compared to Zhao's 55%.
• Competitive experience: Zhao and Ma frequently compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments. Ma shows a better win percentage of 55.36% compared to Zhao's 46.88% in $10K-plus events.
• Head-to-head record: Zhao leads their head-to-head 1-0, having won their only encounter 6-4, 6-2 on a carpet surface.
• Opponent quality: Zhao has faced tougher opponents, averaging a rank of 311.94 versus Ma's 335.84 over the past year.
• Deciding set performance: Both players show similar deciding set success, with Ma marginally ahead at 45% compared to Zhao's 44%.
• Break point conversion: Zhao has a stronger recent breakpoint conversion rate at 48.13%, compared to Ma's rate of 32.84%.

Editorial Prediction (July 8, 2025, UTC):

As Zhao and Ma prepare to face off again, their prior head-to-head record provides significant insight into potential outcomes. Zhao not only holds the edge statistically in critical areas like return games and second serve points but also won their previous encounter decisively.

Ma's higher overall win rate over the past year suggests consistency across matches, yet Zhao seems better equipped in pressure-filled moments, given her higher breakpoint conversion rates and break point save performance.

Match dynamics favor Zhao, especially considering her past victory and superior handling of high-pressure scenarios. While Ma's broader success in tournaments and slightly better win percentage highlights her competitive nature, Zhao's nuanced advantages suggest she is the favorite in this upcoming match.

Based on these detailed comparisons and trends, Zhao appears more likely to emerge as the winner in their next clash.